Thursday’s selloff, Wednesday’s Fed decision and Big Tech earnings all point at the same question: can the company behind more than a trillion dollars of commitments keep paying for them?
Three stocks are more than a fifth of the S&P 500 and ten are about 40%. When the AI trade stumbled on October 22, the index fell with it while the Dow finished flat. With the Fed tomorrow and the midterms next Tuesday, the question is not whether to own stocks but which few.
Google just signed nuclear deals on two continents, a shuttered Iowa reactor has its federal loan, and 38 countries have pledged to triple nuclear power. After 30 years of decline, the resource race has started.
In sixteen months the federal government went from a veto over one steel company to stakes in forty. Its biggest position has roughly tripled. The newest arrived two weeks ago, four more were proposed last week, and the pattern of where it buys is getting easier to read.
In six weeks Google and Microsoft signed decades of power, Texas set a demand record, and the President told data centers to make their own electricity. The money is moving to whoever owns the supply.
The biggest AI spenders are now asking public investors to fund data centers that need their own power plants. A grid study says supply may not keep up, and the race for power has moved to Texas.
Microsoft and Alphabet report Wednesday, Amazon Thursday, and Meta just asked investors for up to $95 billion to build data centers. The power to run them is the question, and the richest people in tech have already answered it.